Two future battles within the Conservative party
7:04 pm - January 29th 2009
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We’ve been sent a press release courtesy of “neo-con rag” Standpoint magazine, which has an article this month by a senior Tory insider whispering against Steve Hilton – public relations man for David Cameron – while playing up Tim Montgomerie of ConservativeHome.
But I think there’s more to this than meets the eye.
The press release states:
In an anonymous article it is claimed that Hilton, Cameron’s closest advisor, is a “guru without a doctrine, a winner without victories – and a spin-doctor whom Cameron should by now have outgrown.”
It is argued that Cameron should be much further ahead of Gordon Brown in the polls than he is now, and that there is disquiet about Cameron’s reliance on Hilton because of his inability to take advantage of Brown’s discredited economic strategy and weak political position. Whilst dismissing Hilton as ‘Overrated’, the author urges Cameron to look to the integrity of Tim Montgomerie: the visionary behind ConservativeHome.com, and the ex-chief of staff to Iain Duncan Smith.
Montgomerie has created Britain’s leading conservative blog, and has a brand of centre-right politics which is “generous, democratic, and firmly conservative”, the author argues. In contrast to Hilton, Montgomerie believes that a British Conservative victory “cannot be assembled by simply wooing the press…and expecting the party faithful to trot loyally after Cameron’s bicycle”. It instead “begins and ends down at the grassroots”.
Leave aside who could be behind this, there are two inter-related battles that seem to be bubbling to the forefront.
One is a battle over how to reach out to voters. The current way that is all about positioning and marketing (adopted both by New Labour and Conservatives) and the other of building a serious grass-roots movement.
Montgomerie, like myself, believes that political parties can only flourish by building deep grass-roots links rather than trying to position themselves as the least worst option. In effect, when New Labour abandoned the grass-roots, so did the Tories because the upper hierarchy at both parties felt they’d be a lot more free without the shackles of internal democracy.
But he wants the Conservative Party to go back to its roots and reconnect with its base, as I would like the Labour party to do. I don’t think either parties are sufficiently persuaded yet.
The second battle is more interesting. As I’ve said before, TM holds a rather more right-wing brand of conservatism that isn’t too different from how the Barry Goldwater and Ronald Regan conservatives saw the Republican Party back in the 60s/70s.
At the time, they thought the Party was enamoured by the Liberal Establishment and wanted it to return to its traditional roots. Slowly slowly, person by person, inch by inch, they planned their takeover of the Republican Party. The New Conservatives ousted the old guard.
My feeling is that the same’s happening here. The Tim Montgomerie brand of conservatives don’t want their party paying lip service to climate change, (gender/racial) diversity, diplomacy in the Middle East, multiculturalism etc. They don’t want to acknowledge public opinion over abortion rights – they want to mount a long term challenge to the existing consensus amongst the Conservative party.
I think this article is part of that strategy. Will the current Tory party be able to resist? Only if the polls hold up.
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Sunny Hundal is editor of LC. Also: on Twitter, at Pickled Politics and Guardian CIF.
· Other posts by Sunny Hundal
Story Filed Under: Blog ,Conservative Party ,Realpolitik ,Westminster
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Reader comments
I always enjoy reading ConHome. Montgomerie has certainly got his own point of view, but the comment threads are fairly balanced & show all sections of the party.
My favourite contributors are Malcolm Dunn & Sally Roberts, & I can’t help smiling at the UKIP & Labour trolls as well.
You don’t get many neocons on that site & when Montgomerie talks toss, the majority will point this out to him.
I leave the odd comment myself. But life’s too short to get in their discussions, so I just read them. It’s good to find a site where you can go over a discussion thread & find it genuinely enlightening.
This site is the same.
Oh I don’t deny that. I’m just saying he’s pretty to the right of where his party stands on most policies (except immigration perhaps).
I’m not sure you’re correct on that point, Sunny.
The Conservative party leadership and it’s membership have been disconnected for quite some while (placing TM in a hugely influential intermediate position), however their recent decline in membership may be addressing this imbalance (possibly as a result of TM’s efforts).
Conservative disarmony – it is really the great unspoken. An example during recent researches on airport policy I found about three or four different strands of opinion. The leadership is pretty much taking the newspaper-friendly centre-right/liberal/wet view that protecting the environment (aka Tory voters) is paramount, Boris Johnson is taking a substantial wing fifty miles out to sea in the fog (while overtly trying to paint the opposition to the third runway bright blue). Meanwhile there’s a substantial lot on the right who wonder why on earth the red-blooded capitalists and freedom loving individualists of the Conservative Party are letting namby-pamby euro-commie greenery get in the way of carpeting southern England in runways, and anyway there’s nothing wrong with the damn climate.
Of course, without ConHome I’d have been fairly unaware of this. I disagree with most of what’s on it and some of the writers are monstrous ignoramuses, but it’s a damn good effort, isn’t it?
Mind you I’m still not ready to decide what the reality is – Conservatives as rebranded New Labour or Conservatives as rebranded New Labour that sooner or later turns into rebranded loony culture war Republicanism. Are Iceland accepting asylum seekers?
“Meanwhile there’s a substantial lot on the right who wonder why on earth the red-blooded capitalists and freedom loving individualists of the Conservative Party are letting namby-pamby euro-commie greenery get in the way of carpeting southern England in runways, and anyway there’s nothing wrong with the damn climate.”
Strange that freedom loving individualists would be supporting the state in its theft of private land. There is a libertarian free market private property rights argument sagainst Heathrow expansion.
Richard – it’s this crew I was mainly interested in – http://www.c-fit.org.uk/. Guido is, or appears to be, a fan, possibly for totty rather than libertarian reasons, admittedly. They all look about twelve. Bless.
CFIT is an unfortunate acronym for an aviation pressure group, too.
I’m surprised it’s taken this long to try this to be honest…
“In effect, when New Labour abandoned the grass-roots, so did the Tories because the upper hierarchy at both parties felt they’d be a lot more free without the shackles of internal democracy.”
Actually I’d say the tories did the opposite to labour, and embraced their grass roots and introduced party democracy when labour did the opposite. Its why Kenneth Clarke lost to IDS and the conservatives stayed in opposition.
It is argued that Cameron should be much further ahead of Gordon Brown in the polls than he is now
I imagine most Tory activists think the current lead of 10%-15% is enough. Particularly as it’s hard to think of a single reason why it should shrink…
If this recession lasts for 2 years, a large numbers of small amd medium sized businesses go bust and serious crime rises ,then any party will need a lot more than PR to win an election. A combination of criticism of international finance, a demand for effective and tough policing plus a downgrading of concerns about the environment could undermine Cameron. Someone like David Davis may resonate far more with the electorate.
“At the time, they thought the Party was enamoured by the Liberal Establishment and wanted it to return to its traditional roots. Slowly slowly, person by person, inch by inch, they planned their takeover of the Republican Party. The New Conservatives ousted the old guard.”
Yeah but you know its not as simple as that. The neo-cons who took over the Party in the 1980s had no intention whatever of returning the GOP to its ‘traditional’ roots. Unlike traditional conservatives, neocons don’t think state power is a problem at all, (except when it’s exercised by anti-war Leftists) Since the 90s they’ve succeeded completely in turning anti-government red-staters into power worshippers and supporters of militaristic adventures. From the point of view of a conservative in 1952, The Republican Party of today would be considered as extremely left-wing.
“They don’t want to acknowledge public opinion over abortion rights”
Yeah, a bit like the way this site doesn’t want to acknowledge public opinion on uncontrolled immigration.
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