Poll of polls: Tories on 68-seat majority


by Newswire    
6:18 am - August 6th 2009

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The latest ‘poll of polls’ by the Independent newspaper, published today, shows the Conservative Party has a lead of 14 points.

That would give the Tories a majority of 68 seats if the swing was uniform across the nation.

The weighted average of five polls last month puts the Tories on 40 per cent (up three points), Labour on 26 per cent (up two), the Liberal Democrats unchanged on 19 per cent and other parties on 15 per cent (down five).

The Independent report goes on to say:

The figures were based on the last polls before MPs left Westminster for their summer recess, including a ComRes survey for The Independent which put the Conservatives on 42 per cent and Labour on 24 per cent. The Conservatives have now enjoyed a consistent double-digit lead over Labour since the beginning of the year. John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, compiled the figures and said there appeared to have been a “decisive long-term shift in the public mood” since the spring last year. Last autumn’s recovery in Government support now seems to have been “little more than a temporary blip”, he said. “Labour evidently has a tough job on its hands to shift this now long-standing public mood once more.”

Support for other parties such as the UK Independence Party and the Greens reached a peak in June amid anger over the MPs’ expenses scandal.

A 68 seat margin was the same achieved by Tony Blair in 2005.

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Reader comments


1. Graham Smith

Just goes to show how awful our voting system is.

2. Leon

68 seats would mean a Labour government would be a real possibility of happening after 4/5 years of Cameron…

3. James

Unlikely, Leon.

The entire New Labour Project consisted of winning elections at all costs. By all rights the right wing of the party should now implode neatly, instead it will enter messy, devastating death throes & do it’s best to take the rest of the party down with it.


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  3. Liberal Conspiracy

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