Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe
5:51 pm - November 2nd 2011
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contribution by David Malone
Berlusconi has become Europe’s Mubarak. There always comes a time when the ‘Strong Man’ becomes an embarrassment for those who have supported his grip on power and whose interests he has protected. It happened with Mubarak. He gradually became a crisis waiting to happen.
The problem is always that as his grip on power becomes more publicly detested and evidently corrupt and dysfunctional, it also happens in parallel that only he can keep a lid on the powers that oppose him.
There is never anyone who can step seamlessly in to the shoes of ‘the strong man’.
And so he is maintained in power even as he moves to the end game where he will be deposed by popular unrest or the unravelling of his political machine and power.
Berlusconi is increasingly an embarrassment for the bankers and also no longer the right man for the job that they need doing. BUT, there is no one else who can keep a lid on the problems that his reign has stored up.
If he goes it is clear that his monopoly on the media will crumble. And the great fear then is that when that happens the Italian people might start to hear voices and opinions they are not allowed to hear at present.
I believe – and I’m speculating here – a great deal of Italian Sovereign debt has been transferred to regions where it is essentially unreported. I think the fear is that when Berlusconi goes Italy may be torn in two. The Lega Nord (the Northern League) will not want that debt to be returned to Milan from whence it came (bank debt taken on by the state).
They will insist the debt never came from the banks in Milan in the North but is just evidence of the lazy and southerners. They will try to characterize Southern Italy as Greek in its corrupt fecklessness while they in the North are Germanic in their prudence and industry.
The South will want to prove how this was debt shipped down from the banks in the north with the connivance of local politicians corrupted by Berlusconi. Italy will suddenly seem as if it might tear itself in two. If I am in any way correct about this, and if others have already thought this through, then they will fear that the big Italian banks might well not survive such a period of crisis.
Thus at the G20 Greece must be bullied frightened in to voting ‘yes’ for austerity while in Italy Berlusconi must be tolerated in all his gurning buffoonery and maintained in power for a little longer.
A successor must be found who will have the power concentrated in his hands to keep all the bodies buried in shallow graves in Italy’s southern regions from rising to the surface.
This, I suggest, is Italy’s place on the G20 agenda.
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David Malone is author of the Debt Generation
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Reader comments
I believe – and I’m speculating here – a great deal of Italian Sovereign debt has been transferred to regions where it is essentially unreported. I think the fear is that when Berlusconi goes Italy may be torn in two. The Lega Nord (the Northern League) will not want that debt to be returned to Milan from whence it came (bank debt taken on by the state).
Is there anything to support this?
Silvio represents crony capitalism. The Italians who vote for him do so because they don’t pay their taxes,and they know he will turn a blind eye. It is why he stays in power despite the fact that he is an embarrassment.
It is the Italian way.
A bit of a stretch that headline – but I guess Mubarak and Berlusconi have do have something in common.
Mubarak was a leftie and his National Democratic Party remained member of the Socialist International, alongside our own Labour Party, until February this year. Must have been embarrassing for Ed Miliband to have Hosni as a political ally, particularly while Hosni’s boys were torturing people and trying to crush democracy. But that’s actually existing socialism for you.
Silvio, by contrast, doesn’t go in for killing people or torturing them and isn’t trying to crush democracy. But he’s still a bit of an embarrassment to the centre right ‘cos he’s got an eye for the ladies.
Not sure that stacks up to moral equivalence though.
Perhaps it’s a little distasteful to venture the comparison?
Er, no.
That’d be Putin.
“Must have been embarrassing for Ed Miliband to have Hosni as a political ally”
Must be embarassing to have to ignore a decades long policy of military and financial support for Mubarack on the part of successive US presidents in order to attempt political points scoring against somebody who spoke in support of the egyptian revolution. Particularly when influential right wingers like Niall Ferguson were urging the violent repression of the movement, and non-influential nobodies on the right were on here demonising the movement at the same time.
Silvio, by contrast, doesn’t go in for killing people or torturing them and isn’t trying to crush democracy. But he’s still a bit of an embarrassment to the centre right ‘cos he’s got an eye for the ladies.
That’s like saying that Richard Nixon was only embarrassing because he was a little nosey. The whole corruption, cronyism and conspiratorialism stuff should be more disturbing.
‘but I guess Mubarak and Berlusconi have do have something in common.’
Yep, they both let the Blairs use their houses for private holidays. Aren’t we proud of our ex-PM?
No we are not proud of our old PM. But then now it has been shown that new labour was far more tory than Labour, and seeing as Cameron thinks Blair was a genius, it would seem the tory party is the one that is proud.
“Mubarak was a leftie ”
Someone who doesn’t understand the word “leftie” might believe this. Mubarak’s (dissolved) NDP were for decades a social democratic party with strong centrist tendencies. Berlusconi, by contrast, has been every variety of corrupt right-winger he can think of – and, as usual, right-wing policies have resulted in corruption, tax evasion and scapegoating of the poor, foreigners and women.
Sooooo…. we Greeks “must be bullied frightened in to voting ‘yes’ for austerity” — really?
Where is the news?
Tony Blair went on holiday with Berlusconi. Do I need references for that?
Hosni Mubarak took Tony Blair on holiday:
http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/news/article-447421-row-over-blair-holiday-funded-by-egypt.do
Headlines that pronounce news must deliver news. Something that I didn’t know already, or something that I sort of knew but which did not yet excite me.
There was an element of interest in the OP, enough to trigger a spark but insufficient to light a flame.
Duce-lite. As the great man said “history repeats itself – first as tragedy, second as farce”.
Leave him alone. After Liberace, he’s my favourite musician
Morzer @ 9
I’m afraid that your attempt to hi-jack the Egyptian revolution for the Left doesn’t square with the facts.
Thanks to Wikileaks, we know that the US government was sponsoring dissidents under the Bush administration and that a plan for toppling Mubarak had been drawn up in 2008. A number of the leaders of the Tahrir Square demonstration received help and instruction from the US Embassy, while others attended a summit in New York under the auspices of the Alliance for Youth Movements, funded by the US State Department.
Mubarak was a leftie and his National Democratic Party remained member of the Socialist International, alongside our own Labour Party, until February this year. Must have been embarrassing for Ed Miliband to have Hosni as a political ally, particularly while Hosni’s boys were torturing people and trying to crush democracy. But that’s actually existing socialism for you.
You know, the SI isn’t the only International to have dodgy members. The IDU (to which the Tories belong) includes the Kuomintang (no introduction needed) and ARENA (a delightful party from El Salvador founded by the man who organised the death squads in the 1980s).
The IDU (to which the Tories belong) includes the Kuomintang (no introduction needed)
Well, they are the democratically elected Government of Taiwan.
Reactions: Twitter, blogs
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Mario Mele
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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Suzukimaruti
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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midoarouet
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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Mario Mele
La fine di Berlusconi potrebbe dividere l'Italia in due? http://t.co/WZx40vew via @libcon
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Mauro Dal Cason
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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Agostino Telese
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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cdigiovanni
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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superphonic
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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F.C. Tymrak
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/Bi5FS2PQ
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Owen Blacker
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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Alex Harrowell
Silvio Berlusconi has become the Hosni Mubarak of Europe http://t.co/dYdVBrBQ
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