Brown’s ratings rise after conference speech


8:47 pm - October 1st 2009

by Sunny Hundal    


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YouGov’s daily tracker poll brought some interesting news today.

While the Tory lead widened again quickly after a post-conference bounce, it brought some interesting news on how the speech was generally received which the media has ignored.

The results show that the party conference and Brown’s personal standing improved by over 10% after his main speech.

The poll also asked people how important newspaper endorsements and recommendations were on their voting intentions:

Very important 2%
Fairly important 10%

Not very important 25%
Not important at all 59%
Don’t know 4

Not encouraging for the impact of the Sun.

The public were also generally positive to the idea of moving to an AV voting system and having a referendum on the issue:

If a referendum were held on whether to stick with FPTP or switch to AV for electing MPs how would you vote?
Keep FPTP 30%
Switch to AV 58%
Would not vote 2%
Don’t know 10%

Do you think it is a good idea or bad idea to hold such a referendum?
Good idea to hold a referendum 59%
Bad idea 22%
Don’t know 19%

A law to recall MPs: Do you think this is a good idea or a bad idea?
Good idea to hold local referendums such as this 76%
Bad idea 12%
Don’t know 12%

More results here.

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About the author
Sunny Hundal is editor of LC. Also: on Twitter, at Pickled Politics and Guardian CIF.
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Reader comments


No wonder part of the media keep pressing the leading questions about when is Brown going to step down and demanding to know what pills he is taking to avoid discussing the awkward fact that the Conservative line on the international recession was to Do Nothing to boost the UK economy.

Who would think now that it was Rt Hon Kenneth Clarke MP who suggested cutting the VAT rate last year?

Old news. The Tory lead has just doubled to 14pts since the Sun’s endorsement. Rofl.

3. Shatterface

Have you given up all pretence of supporting the Greens now, Sunny, and crawled back to Labour with your tail between your legs?

You seem increasingly desperate to pretend Labour is doing well, or else to blame all their woes on the meeeja.

4. Lee Griffin

a) polls always rise after exposure

b) “Not encouraging for the impact of the Sun.” It’s been pretty much agreed by now, has it not, that the Sun is not influencing anything, it is following the general mood of a Tory victory.

c) If support is going to be up over the longer term, it is only going to be by pandering to the fascist wing of this country, so let’s not clap too loudly

@3, Shatterface: What on earth are you on about. This is an interesting poll result– Sunny’s just reporting something interesting and current. Stop seeing everything through a party-partisanship-tinted lens; there are parts of some parties he likes and parts he doesn’t like, just the same as any other (reasonable) person.

6. Jimmy Sands

It was a good speech, but I think he’s playing too his strengths. There’s no point in trying to crack jokes or smile. It doesn’t come off. I think the best line to take is that he may be a charmless weirdo with anger management issues but on the other hand he does know what he’s doing, which is more than you can say for his oppo. The public need to be reminded that they’re choosing a PM, not a dinner party guest.

The daily polling I suspect is down to statistical error. We’re probably in the high twenties. I don’t assume that the tories will pull away next week. Remember the Lisbon grenade will be tossed into the middle of the event and this stuff brings out the worst in them. Cameron may regret not getting his story straight in advance. Remember we only need about 35 to win. This is not over.

Mid conference polls are notorious. Ignore this one.

In three weeks time, see where the polls stand. If there has been a change from pre conference levels, then you can come back to this one to find out why.

But I am guessing that there won’t. There usually isn’t

shatterface – you really do froth-at-the-mouth a lot don’t you?

praguetory – I know reading doesn’t come easy to you, but this poll was taken the same day as the Tory lead grew.

The headline is the headline. It’s not the media’s narrative, not what some of you want to hear, but it’s a fact. Now wipe your mouths and step away from the computer.

Just watch this on Murdoch and journalism in America to appreciate why Cameron’s decision to hire Andy Coulson as the Conservative communications director was a smart move:
http://video.google.co.uk/?hl=en&tab=nv

Have to say I’m entirely with “Dontmindme”, and I think for the last few years I have blogged each year during Conference season that watching the polls for the three main parties is pointless. If you get blanket coverage for almost a week you;re going to see people say more positive things. The thing to really look at are the polls at the end of October – unless you’re spread betting or something.

11. the a&e charge nurse

To my surprise I found Brown came across very well – I think he is trying to create the kind of ‘siege mentality’ that Fergie tends to favour if Man U suffer a few bad results?


Reactions: Twitter, blogs
  1. Liberal Conspiracy

    Article:: Brown’s ratings rise after conf. speech http://bit.ly/1MddNh

  2. irene rukerebuka

    Oh?? Well he deserves this after the ‘pill’ rubbish..RT @libcon: Article:: Brown’s ratings rise after conf. speech http://bit.ly/1MddNh

  3. anotherwhitemug.com

    Liberal Conspiracy » Brown’s ratings rise after conference speech- BNP: a very British Berufsverbot. » Surren… http://bit.ly/6fwhE

  4. Liberal Conspiracy

    Article:: Brown’s ratings rise after conf. speech http://bit.ly/1MddNh

  5. irene rukerebuka

    Oh?? Well he deserves this after the ‘pill’ rubbish..RT @libcon: Article:: Brown’s ratings rise after conf. speech http://bit.ly/1MddNh

  6. Public supports AV, Brown screws up « Amused Cynicism

    […] by cabalamat on 2009-Oct-03 According to a poll reported by Liberal Conspiracy, the public supports the AV voting system, and the ability to recall […]





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